The Toad tried unsuccessfully to characterize the voting paradigm of the upcoming presidential election. His conclusions are wrong.

Americans have simply been inspired to vote for two great candidates and equally disgusted with the continuation of the current administration that John McCain represents. I personally know lifelong republicans that plan to vote for Obama because they genuinely believe he is the bet candidate.

Barack Obama will beat John McCain in the national election for 4 main reasons.

1. Obama better represents independents and moderates: John McCain earned his reputation as a "maverick senator" by supporting across the aisle legislation, staying away from the party line and genuinely representing the best interest of the people of AZ. You were lucky to have such a great senator. If Hillary wins the democratic nomination a lot of people who would otherwise not vote republican will cast their vote for John McCain because of his past achievements. With Obama in the race all the independents and moderates view McCain's staunch support of the Bush tax cuts, his staunch support for Bush's War and his questionable ties to Washington lobbyists inside and outside his campaign as pandering to the republican base. Obama represents a true alternative to this type of politiking so he will get their votes.

2.Obama is more organized at the grassroots level: Almost 1 million people have separately donated to Obama;s campaign. His organization's relentless effort to mobilize support has been the backbone of his campaign, Hillary didn't have a plan after Super Tuesday, Obama kept on rolling, to 11 straight victories. He really doesn't take money from lobbyists, something McCain was forced to do when his campaign ran out money before the primaries even began. Democrats have been showing up at the polls in record numbers and its not because they're handing out booze or candy this year.

3.John McCain will not stoop down to traditional republican tricks: He has substantially denounced the racist radio host who spoke before a rally in Ohio. He won't run a campaign like Bush did and make personal values like abortion and gay marriage central themes of his campaign. The issues that inspire the crazy evangelicals to come out in masses won't be there for McCain. Right-wing hacks like OReilly, Hannity and Coulter aren't biding their time before pouncing on Obama, they're scrambling. They were so overly prepared for Hillary that they don't know what to do about the cool black guy without revealing their covert racism. They don't have anything substantial to bash Obama with. (Think before you speak Michelle).

4. Obama opposes the war, McCain does not. McCain would be a great, great, great candidate if used his prior experiences of war as a platform for respectfully pulling America out of this quagmire. He spent 6 years as a POW, was presumably tortured beyond belief and yet he will not vow to end injustices like torture and gitmo practiced by our country. Above anything else, Obama was right about the War. Subsequent votes to fund the troops were his duty to the young men and women involved in the battle. All serious people understand this.

McCain did what he had to do to get the nomination, but he payed a great price. Only an unnatural event with unforeseen consequences could change the certainty of America electing the first African-America President in our history.

From listening to the Toad and the American Abomination on the Voice of Arizona radio show all Obama has to do is stay out of Arizona during his presidential term and he should be alright.