Obama's got a shot to win Pennsylvania tomorrow. He's still trailing in the polls, by as few as 4 points in some and by as many as 10 in others, but the polls were wrong when Barack won Iowa and they were wrong when Hillary won New Hampshire. It may only be a shot in the dark, but that might be enough.

An Obama victory in Pennsylvania, whose demographics clearly favor HRC, would represent the knockout punch for the Democratic Primary. Even if HRC takes the state by single digits, which appears to be the likely outcome, her campaign will still take a step backward. According to Bloomberg news Hillary trails Obama in the popular vote by 800,000. Even if she wins PA by 20 percentage points, which would be her largest margin of victory in the primary race by far, she will still need blowout numbers the rest of the way.

HRC backer and New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine said she needs either the popular vote or the delegate lead in order to have a chance.

It's possible that on Wed. morning, as recent Obama endorser Bruce Springstein would say, Hillary could be left dancin in the dark. 

The support for Obama in urban Philadelphia has been growing steadily despite recent "gaffes" on the campaign trail. Registered Republican Op/Ed columnist Michael Smerconish reports that more than 130,000 Pennsylvanians joined the Democratic Party before the March 24th deadline. He wasn't one of them, but he does think Obama is the better democratic candidate, albeit for much different reasons than most people, his Foreign Policy.

He says Obama has demonstrated a determination to make the men responsible for 9/11, Osama bin Laden and Al-Zawahiri, pay for their actions. It was these men who are responsible, directly and indirectly, for the deaths of more than 7,000 Americans, and they're still out there, plotting, planning, waiting. From the article:


"Enter Barack Obama. On Aug. 1, 2007, he delivered a speech at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars: "If we have actionable intelligence about high-value terrorist targets, and President Musharraf won't act, we will."We can't send millions and millions of dollars to Pakistan for military aid, and be a consant ally to them, and yet not see more aggressive action in dealing with al Qaeda."Finally, a presidential candidate saying something about this foreign-policy failure. The reaction: Ridicule.Hillary Clinton said, "You can think big, but, remember, you shouldn't always say everything you think when you're running for president because it could have consequences across the world, and we don't need that right now."Across the aisle, John McCain also pounded Obama for a perceived lack of seasoning in the realm of foreign relations: "The best idea is to not broadcast what you're going to do," McCain said in February. "That's naive.
To his credit, Obama has refused to back away from his insistence on reasserting American control over the hunt for bin Laden. I interviewed him on March 21, and asked him about this issue. He told me that Musharraf, despite being flush with billions in American aid, was not taking counter-terrorism seriously. "
 
Another Philadelphia Enquirer columnist / Editor thinks Obama has support from people that aren't being counted in the polls. He related a conversation he had at the gym with an older, Jewish, white male - the demographic the mainstream media said Obama's relationship with his pastor would ruin - who was supporting Obama. The man said,

"Obama is not running as a black candidate, but as an American candidate, and that represents change in the American political process." Barg also said he felt that Obama's rejection of the Rev. Jeremiah Wright Jr.'s insensitive remarks should help heal "any rifts between Jews and African Americans."